PolymarketOpen

Fight to Go the Distance?

No64%

Yes36%

Price checked at Oct 24, 05:18 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.1K

7d volume$1.4K

30d volume$1.4K

Liquidity$4.5K

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 10 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Aaron Pico and Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Polymarket	56% Aaron Pico	$37.8K	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	55% Yes	$34	—	—	Open
Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	72% No	$31	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	91% No	$15	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	69% No	$5	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	51% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Aaron Pico win in Round 3?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Aaron Pico win in Round 2?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Losene Keita win in Round 1?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Losene Keita win in Round 2?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	58% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	64% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	84% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Aaron Pico win in Round 1?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Losene Keita win in Round 3?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	64% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Aaron Pico win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	57% Over	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 05:57 PM UTC