Who will win the Vermont Senate? Republican party
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Republican party wins the Vermont Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Vermont Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. A member elected on more than one party’s line counts only for the party listed first in their designation on the Vermont General Assembly member roster (e.g., “Democrat/Progressive” counts for the Democratic party, “Progressive/Democrat” for the Progressive party and “Republican/Democrat” for the Republican party).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the Vermont Senate? Democratic party | Kalshi | 93% Democratic party | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 01:42 PM UTC