Who will win the Vermont Senate? Democratic party
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic party wins the Vermont Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Vermont Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. A member elected on more than one party’s line counts only for the party listed first in their designation on the Vermont General Assembly member roster (e.g., “Democrat/Progressive” counts for the Democratic party, “Progressive/Democrat” for the Progressive party and “Republican/Democrat” for the Republican party).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the Vermont Senate? Republican party | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Nov 1, 03:23 PM UTC