Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 82% Yes | Open |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 78% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 54% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 66% Yes | Open |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% Yes | Open |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 08:49 PM UTC