California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent: Will Yes receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election?
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Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Yes on California Proposition 40 ÷ total valid votes cast on California Proposition 40) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Total valid votes cast on the measure is the sum of Yes votes and No votes as reported by the California Secretary of State; ballots that record no vote on the measure are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
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As of Nov 1, 12:14 PM UTC