California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent: Will Yes receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Yes on California Proposition 40 ÷ total valid votes cast on California Proposition 40) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Total valid votes cast on the measure is the sum of Yes votes and No votes as reported by the California Secretary of State; ballots that record no vote on the measure are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
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As of Oct 2, 01:40 PM UTC