KalshiOpen

Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?

No91%

Before Nov 16, 20269%

Price checked at Nov 1, 03:15 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$4

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$0

Spread7%

ResolvesNov 1, 202644 minutes ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	74% No	$3	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?: Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 1, 03:43 PM UTC