KalshiOpen

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?: Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?

No85%

Before Nov 1, 202615%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:43 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?: Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$999	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?: Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC