GeminiOpen

Fed decision in December? — Fed maintains rate

No78%

Yes23%

Price checked at Oct 25, 01:35 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread5%

ResolvesDec 11, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve maintains rates on December 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If the scheduled December 8–9 FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled dates, then this market resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media\&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95\&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Fed decision in December? — Cut >25bps	Gemini	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Fed decision in December? — Cut 25bps	Gemini	—	—	—	—	Open
Fed decision in December? — Hike >25bps	Gemini	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Fed decision in December? — Hike 25bps	Gemini	74% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

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Open interest—

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As of Oct 25, 01:46 AM UTC