Polymarket USOpen

TIME Person of the Year 2026: Taylor Swift

No97%
Yes4%

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24h volume$412
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 06:53 PMOct 3, 05:26 AMOct 3, 03:59 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift is TIME Person of the Year in 2026, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by TIME Magazine. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they are explicitly named by TIME as TIME Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple persons, concepts, groups, entities, or things are named TIME Person of the Year, each such named person, concept, group, entity, or thing will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a non-human concept, group, entity, or thing, a listed person will still be considered to be TIME Person of the Year if the person is directly associated with the concept, group, entity or thing named TIME Person of the Year and is pictured on any official TIME Person of the Year cover. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was Architects of AI, Contracts for Sam Altman would have settled to Yes, as Altman was associated with the concept and pictured on the cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g., artificial intelligence), listed non-human concepts, groups, entities, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were TIME Person of the Year, Contracts for AI or LLMs would not settle to Yes because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g., 2011s The Protester or 2017s The Silence Breakers), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases non-human concepts, groups, entities, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, Contracts for The Me Too Movement would have settled to Yes in 2017.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Zohran MamdaniPolymarketUs66% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Pope Leo XIVPolymarketUs88% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Artificial IntelligencePolymarketUs94% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Donald TrumpPolymarketUs89% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Dario AmodeiPolymarketUs89% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Benjamin NetanyahuPolymarketUs93% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Elon MuskPolymarketUs92% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Bad BunnyPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Sam AltmanPolymarketUs91% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: ChatGPTPolymarketUs96% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Reid WisemanPolymarketUs96% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Lionel MessiPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Jeremy HansenPolymarketUs93% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: James TalaricoPolymarketUs93% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Shehbaz SharifPolymarketUs96% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Mojtaba KhameneiPolymarketUs96% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Mohammad-Bagher GhalibafPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Christina KochPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Marco RubioPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Jerome PowellPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Xi JinpingPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Victor GloverPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Alysa LiuPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
TIME Person of the Year 2026: Peter MagyarPolymarketUs97% NoOpen

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As of Oct 3, 04:03 PM UTC