Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Kamala Harris

No94%
Yes6%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesNov 10, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 11:01 AMOct 2, 01:42 PMOct 2, 04:23 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve on whether Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Kamala Harris. If all three sources have not called the race for Kamala Harris by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Kamala Harris is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Kamala Harris is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun and Polymarket use AP, Fox News, and NBC calls, with inauguration as fallback; Gemini uses the same primary sources and inauguration fallback but adds FEC and, ultimately, a last-traded-price contingency. Polymarket and Gemini also publish settlement timestamps, while PredictFun does not.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    read Oct 2, 03:22 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    1.2K holders · 1K comments · read Oct 2, 01:28 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Kamala Harris

    This market will resolve on whether Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Kamala Harris. If all three sources have not called the race for Kamala Harris by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Kamala Harris is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Kamala Harris is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.

    read Oct 2, 04:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 04:30 PM UTC