Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve on whether Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>). Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson. If all three sources have not called the race for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated. If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Otherwise, the market resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Donald Trump | Gemini | 75% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance | Gemini | 77% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gavin Newsom | Gemini | 85% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Josh Shapiro | Gemini | 95% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Pete Buttigieg | Gemini | 95% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Kamala Harris | Gemini | 94% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Marco Rubio | Gemini | 85% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Gemini | 89% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Andy Beshear | Gemini | 97% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Jon Ossoff | Gemini | 87% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 04:29 PM UTC