Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: UNRWA

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 2, 12:57 AMOct 2, 07:30 AMOct 2, 02:02 PM

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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SourcePolymarket market will-unrwa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-983

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi publishes explicit 2026 resolution criteria, while Pascal provides no criteria and cites a Polymarket market as its resolution source; no material difference in the stated question is evident.
  • Pascalthis market

    Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: UNRWA

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 02:02 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? UNRWA

    If UNRWA wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Oct 1, 11:18 AM UTC

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As of Oct 2, 02:03 PM UTC