Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 1, 11:36 PMOct 2, 04:47 AMOct 2, 09:58 AM

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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SourcePolymarket market will-yulia-navalnaya-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-261

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Pascal provides no published resolution criteria and references a Polymarket market as its source, while Kalshi explicitly resolves based on winning in 2026. Their settlement times differ by six hours, with no material difference to the event being measured.
  • Pascalthis market

    Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 09:49 AM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Yulia Navalnaya

    If Yulia Navalnaya wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Oct 1, 01:54 AM UTC

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As of Oct 2, 09:58 AM UTC