Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Committee to Protect Journalists

No96%
Yes4%

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ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 2, 12:16 AMOct 2, 06:06 AMOct 2, 11:57 AM

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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SourcePolymarket market will-committee-to-protect-journalists-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves around October 9, Polymarket specifies the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s official announcement and may resolve later if no announcement occurs, while Pascal references Polymarket’s resolution. These are source and timing differences with no material change to the question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Committee to Protect Journalists

    If Committee to Protect Journalists wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Oct 1, 07:02 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    92 holders · 213 comments · read Oct 2, 10:36 AM UTC

  • Pascalthis market

    Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Committee to Protect Journalists

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 11:53 AM UTC

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As of Oct 2, 11:57 AM UTC