Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Pope Leo XIV

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 1, 11:55 PMOct 2, 05:24 AMOct 2, 10:54 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

SourcePolymarket market will-pope-leo-xiv-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-698

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi explicitly states resolution occurs if Pope Leo XIV wins the prize in 2026, while Pascal publishes no criteria; their listed settlement times differ by six hours.
  • Pascalthis market

    Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Pope Leo XIV

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 10:48 AM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Pope Leo XIV

    If Pope Leo XIV wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Oct 1, 06:31 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 10:54 AM UTC