Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...: December 31, 2029

No80%
Yes21%

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24h volume—
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ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 12:15 PMSep 30, 08:12 PMOct 1, 04:09 AMOct 1, 12:06 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues publish identical resolution criteria and the same effective settlement deadline (11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029); no material resolution difference is stated.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...: December 31, 2029

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    0 holders · read Oct 1, 09:01 AM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...: December 31, 2028Limitless85% NoOpen
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...: December 31, 2027Limitless94% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments0

Best bid 19% · best ask 23%

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As of Oct 1, 12:07 PM UTC