PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)

Matthew William Donald52%
Lorenzo Giustino49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.5K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 04:51 PMSep 30, 03:40 AMSep 30, 02:29 PMOct 1, 01:18 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Lorenzo Giustino" if Lorenzo Giustino wins 1.5 or more total games than Matthew William Donald in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Matthew William Donald". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Lorenzo Giustino could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Matthew William Donald". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Bari: Completed Match: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket62% YesOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket67% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket74% OverOpen
Lorenzo Giustino vs. Matthew William Donald: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket51% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket53% Lorenzo GiustinoOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald: Lorenzo Giustino winsPolymarket53% Lorenzo GiustinoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 01:59 AM UTC