PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald

Lorenzo Giustino50%
Matthew William Donald50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$912
Spread56%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 04:50 PMSep 30, 07:13 AMSep 30, 09:37 PMOct 1, 12:01 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Matthew William Donald in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Giustino” if Lorenzo Giustino wins set 2. It will resolve to “Matthew William Donald” if Matthew William Donald wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Bari: Completed Match: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket50% YesOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket50% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Lorenzo Giustino vs. Matthew William Donald: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Game Spread: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket50% Lorenzo GiustinoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket50% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald: Lorenzo Giustino winsPolymarket77% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 12:06 PM UTC