PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)

Matthew William Donald68%
Lorenzo Giustino33%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.3
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 04:50 PMSep 30, 01:34 AMSep 30, 10:19 AMSep 30, 07:03 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Matthew William Donald in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lorenzo Giustino" if Lorenzo Giustino wins by 2 or more sets than Matthew William Donald, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Matthew William Donald." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lorenzo Giustino can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Matthew William Donald." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket74% OverOpen
Lorenzo Giustino vs. Matthew William Donald: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket50% Lorenzo GiustinoOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Game Spread: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket52% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket54% Lorenzo GiustinoOpen
Giustino vs. Donald: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald: Lorenzo Giustino winsPolymarket53% Lorenzo GiustinoOpen
Bari: Completed Match: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPolymarket54% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 07:25 PM UTC