PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Daniil Medvedev72%
Pablo Carreno Busta29%

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24h volume$120
7d volume$120
30d volume$120
Liquidity$15.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:50 AMSep 29, 04:57 PMSep 29, 11:04 PMSep 30, 05:12 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Daniil Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins the first set. It will resolve to “Pablo Carreno Busta” if Pablo Carreno Busta wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket56% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket68% Under 2.5Open
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket72% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-3.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+3.5)Polymarket61% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket79% Daniil MedvedevOpen

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As of Sep 30, 05:56 AM UTC