PolymarketOpen

China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Daniil Medvedev79%
Pablo Carreno Busta22%

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24h volume$3K
7d volume$3K
30d volume$3K
Liquidity$29.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:11 AMSep 29, 03:57 PMSep 29, 09:44 PMSep 30, 03:31 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket56% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket74% OverOpen
Daniil Medvedev vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket68% Under 2.5Open
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket72% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-3.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+3.5)Polymarket61% Daniil MedvedevOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket72% Daniil MedvedevOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:09 AM UTC