PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Minghui Zhang (+1.5)

Minghui Zhang50%
Kosuke Ogura50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Spread100%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 02:10 PMSep 29, 02:15 AMSep 29, 02:19 PMSep 30, 02:24 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Minghui Zhang in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kosuke Ogura" if Kosuke Ogura wins by 2 or more sets than Minghui Zhang, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Minghui Zhang." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kosuke Ogura can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Minghui Zhang." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kosuke Ogura vs. Minghui Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Minghui Zhang (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket50% Minghui ZhangOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket50% Kosuke OguraOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket50% Minghui ZhangOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket50% NoOpen
M15 Luan: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket76% Kosuke OguraOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:38 AM UTC