PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui Zhang

Kosuke Ogura91%
Minghui Zhang10%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$378.9
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 02:10 PMSep 29, 05:47 AMSep 29, 09:23 PMSep 30, 01:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Minghui Zhang in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kosuke Ogura” if Kosuke Ogura wins set 2. It will resolve to “Minghui Zhang” if Minghui Zhang wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kosuke Ogura vs. Minghui Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Minghui Zhang (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket100% Kosuke OguraOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Minghui Zhang (+1.5)Polymarket100% Kosuke OguraOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket91% Kosuke OguraOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket100% YesOpen
M15 Luan: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket100% Kosuke OguraOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:16 PM UTC