PolymarketOpen

M15 Luan: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui Zhang

Kosuke Ogura76%
Minghui Zhang25%

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24h volume$1.2
7d volume$34.9
30d volume$34.9
Liquidity$2.1K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:31 PMSep 29, 01:31 AMSep 29, 01:31 PMSep 30, 01:31 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Minghui Zhang in the M15 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Minghui Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Minghui Zhang' if Minghui Zhang advances against Kosuke Ogura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kosuke Ogura vs. Minghui Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Minghui Zhang (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket50% Minghui ZhangOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket50% Kosuke OguraOpen
Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Minghui Zhang (+1.5)Polymarket50% Minghui ZhangOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket50% Minghui ZhangOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket50% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:40 AM UTC