PolymarketDelisted

Set Handicap: Minghui Zhang (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)

Kosuke Ogura100%
Minghui Zhang1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$328.4
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 02:10 PMSep 29, 06:27 AMSep 29, 10:43 PMSep 30, 03:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Minghui Zhang and Kosuke Ogura in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Minghui Zhang" if Minghui Zhang wins by 2 or more sets than Kosuke Ogura, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kosuke Ogura." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Minghui Zhang can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Kosuke Ogura." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kosuke Ogura vs. Minghui Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket91% Kosuke OguraOpen
Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Minghui Zhang (+1.5)Polymarket100% Kosuke OguraOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket91% Kosuke OguraOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket100% YesOpen
M15 Luan: Kosuke Ogura vs Minghui ZhangPolymarket100% Kosuke OguraOpen

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As of Oct 1, 01:15 AM UTC