PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-3.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+3.5)

Paula Badosa53%
Daria Kasatkina47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$13.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 01:29 AMSep 29, 04:08 PMSep 30, 06:46 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Paula Badosa" if Paula Badosa wins 3.5 or more total games than Daria Kasatkina in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Daria Kasatkina". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Paula Badosa could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Daria Kasatkina". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket59% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Daria Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Paula Badosa (+1.5)Polymarket83% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Paula Badosa (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)Polymarket54% Daria KasatkinaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Paula Badosa vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set 1 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket65% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket69% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 06:58 AM UTC