PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina

Paula Badosa65%

Daria Kasatkina36%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:19 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$40K

Spread3%

ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Paula Badosa” if Paula Badosa wins the first set. It will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
China Open: Completed Match: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina	Polymarket	51% No	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 23.5	Polymarket	61% Under	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	57% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set 2 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina	Polymarket	64% Paula Badosa	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 22.5	Polymarket	59% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Daria Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Paula Badosa (+1.5)	Polymarket	83% Paula Badosa	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5	Polymarket	53% Under	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	64% Under	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Paula Badosa (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)	Polymarket	55% Daria Kasatkina	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Paula Badosa vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Polymarket	63% Under 2.5	—	—	—	Open
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	58% Over	—	—	—	Open
Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-3.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+3.5)	Polymarket	53% Paula Badosa	—	—	—	Open
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina	Polymarket	68% Paula Badosa	$126.7	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 04:06 PM UTC