PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Daria Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Paula Badosa (+1.5)

Paula Badosa83%
Daria Kasatkina17%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$14.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 09:49 AMSep 29, 12:48 AMSep 29, 03:46 PMSep 30, 06:45 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Daria Kasatkina" if Daria Kasatkina wins by 2 or more sets than Paula Badosa, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Paula Badosa." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daria Kasatkina can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Paula Badosa." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket59% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Paula Badosa (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)Polymarket54% Daria KasatkinaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Paula Badosa vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set 1 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket65% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-3.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+3.5)Polymarket53% Paula BadosaOpen
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket69% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 06:55 AM UTC