PolymarketOpen

Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 23.5

Under60%
Over40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$4.9K
Spread14%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 09:49 AMSep 29, 02:10 AMSep 29, 06:31 PMSep 30, 10:52 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WTA statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket50% YesOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket65% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Daria Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Paula Badosa (+1.5)Polymarket83% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Paula Badosa (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)Polymarket54% Daria KasatkinaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Paula Badosa vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set 1 Winner: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket65% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-3.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+3.5)Polymarket53% Paula BadosaOpen
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaPolymarket69% Paula BadosaOpen
Badosa vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:32 AM UTC