PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez

Juncheng Shang56%

Sebastian Baez45%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:47 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.3K

Spread11%

ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Juncheng Shang” if Juncheng Shang wins set 2. It will resolve to “Sebastian Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	71% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set 1 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez	Polymarket	57% Juncheng Shang	—	—	—	Open
Juncheng Shang vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Polymarket	61% Under 2.5	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5	Polymarket	53% Under	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	53% Over	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5	Polymarket	55% Over	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5	Polymarket	56% Under	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	59% Under	—	—	—	Open
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez	Polymarket	59% Juncheng Shang	$2.7K	—	—	Open
China Open: Completed Match: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez	Polymarket	53% Yes	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Game Spread: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)	Polymarket	53% Juncheng Shang	$101.9	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)	Polymarket	62% Sebastian Baez	$56.6	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 12:10 AM UTC