PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)

Juncheng Shang53%
Sebastian Baez48%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$101.9
7d volume$101.9
30d volume$101.9
Liquidity$13.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 12:34 AMSep 29, 02:17 PMSep 30, 04:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Juncheng Shang" if Juncheng Shang wins 1.5 or more total games than Sebastian Baez in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Juncheng Shang could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket58% Juncheng ShangOpen
Juncheng Shang vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket56% Juncheng ShangOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket59% Juncheng ShangOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket62% Sebastian BaezOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 04:06 AM UTC