PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)

Sebastian Baez62%
Juncheng Shang39%

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24h volume$56.6
7d volume$56.6
30d volume$56.6
Liquidity$20.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:10 PMSep 29, 11:29 AMSep 29, 11:47 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Juncheng Shang" if Juncheng Shang wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Juncheng Shang can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket57% Juncheng ShangOpen
Juncheng Shang vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket56% Juncheng ShangOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket59% Juncheng ShangOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket53% YesOpen
Game Spread: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket53% Juncheng ShangOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:06 AM UTC