PolymarketOpen

China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez

Juncheng Shang59%
Sebastian Baez42%

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24h volume$2.7K
7d volume$2.7K
30d volume$2.7K
Liquidity$104.8K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:11 AMSep 28, 10:26 PMSep 29, 10:40 AMSep 29, 10:55 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juncheng Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Juncheng Shang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket57% Juncheng ShangOpen
Juncheng Shang vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket56% Juncheng ShangOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shang vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPolymarket53% YesOpen
Game Spread: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket53% Juncheng ShangOpen
Set Handicap: Juncheng Shang (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)Polymarket62% Sebastian BaezOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:14 PM UTC