PolymarketOpen

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen

Yes52%
No48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.6
Spread88%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:11 AMSep 28, 10:26 PMSep 29, 10:40 AMSep 29, 10:55 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Michelsen in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 1 Winner: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex MichelsenPolymarket76% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket61% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex MichelsenPolymarket75% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket69% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+1.5)Polymarket60% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex MichelsenPolymarket83% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-4.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+4.5)Polymarket52% Alex MichelsenOpen
Alcaraz vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket56% OverOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:02 PM UTC