Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No—
Yes—

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The Opinion market lists a resolution date of 2028-11-07, while PredictFun lists none; this is a settlement-time difference that does not change the underlying question. The published resolution source and other criteria are otherwise identical.
  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 29, 06:48 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Josh Hawley

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 29, 11:04 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC