OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Josh Hawley

No85%

Yes16%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:55 PM UTC

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24h volume$55.6

7d volume$55.6

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The Opinion market lists a resolution date of 2028-11-07, while PredictFun lists none; this is a settlement-time difference that does not change the underlying question. The published resolution source and other criteria are otherwise identical.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 06:48 PM UTC
Opinionthis market
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Josh Hawley
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 09:14 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Thomas Massie	Opinion	93% No	$401.3	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Donald Trump	Opinion	90% No	$400.8	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Nikki Haley	Opinion	92% Yes	$291.3	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Donald Trump Jr.	Opinion	79% No	$269.4	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Marco Rubio	Opinion	50% No	$263	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — J.D. Vance	Opinion	60% No	$124.3	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Ted Cruz	Opinion	94% No	$89.6	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Tulsi Gabbard	Opinion	85% No	$73.5	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Ron DeSantis	Opinion	97% Yes	$52.8	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Marjorie Taylor Greene	Opinion	99% No	$48.5	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Rand Paul	Opinion	90% No	$35	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Tucker Carlson	Opinion	96% No	$25	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Glenn Youngkin	Opinion	73% No	$21.9	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Vivek Ramaswamy	Opinion	85% No	$2.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 10 minutes ago

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Best bid 90% · best ask 100%

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As of Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC