Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No85%
Yes15%

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical; Polymarket lists a nominal settlement date of November 7, 2028, while PredictFun does not list a resolvesAt value, but both criteria allow resolution after that date and up to inauguration if necessary.
  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    read Sep 29, 07:07 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    405 holders · 1K comments · read Sep 22, 05:42 AM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 08:28 PM UTC