Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Lamine Yamal95%
No5%

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24h volume$2.5
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Spread3%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lamine Yamal is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves by January 1, 2027 and specifies a no outcome if no final ranking is published by December 31, while Kalshi lists an October 27, 2026 resolution time and provides tie-handling rules. Their published resolution criteria otherwise concern the same official 2026 men's Ballon d'Or ranking.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    57 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 21, 07:35 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

    If Lamine Yamal is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 10:19 PM UTC