Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Kylian Mbappé64%
No36%

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24h volume$532.3
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Spread3%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kylian Mbappé is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in settlement timing and contingency rules: Kalshi resolves against the official final ranking with specified tie handling, while Polymarket may resolve No if no ranking is published by its deadline and permits a consensus of credible reporting. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

    If Kylian Mbappé is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 07:03 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    62 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 05:14 AM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC