Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Harry Kane90%
No10%

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24h volume$21.2
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Spread4%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 27 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Harry Kane is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves by January 1, 2027 using the official announcement or credible reporting and defaults to No if canceled or unpublished; Kalshi settles around October 27, 2026 using the official final ranking and specifies fractional treatment for ties. These criteria differ in settlement mechanics but concern the same top-three result.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    63 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 10:47 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

    If Harry Kane is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 07:08 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 08:27 PM UTC