Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- Polymarketthis market
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
57 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 21, 07:35 PM UTC
- KalshiOpen →
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
If Lamine Yamal is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Sep 29, 07:04 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 81% · best ask 85%
Top holders
- Outsid3rTrading20244707896856009517518608521959978978331246275620618377629957629913871784296
- poolcIeaner44814132146964462041104569749560028287587300629188076883208595552020103249655
- social.tm20244707896856009517518608521959978978331246275620618377629957629913871784296
- ymbetzzz44814132146964462041104569749560028287587300629188076883208595552020103249655
- sverrekd44814132146964462041104569749560028287587300629188076883208595552020103249655
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL15%$38 days ago
- BUY84%$33.68 days ago
- BUY19%$2.78 days ago
- SELL15%$39 days ago
- SELL18%$7.29 days ago
- BUY81%$8.19 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC