Next French Presidential Election — François Hollande
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Resolution rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The same question elsewhere
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Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
458 holders · 780 comments · read Sep 25, 03:59 PM UTC
- Opinionthis market
Next French Presidential Election — François Hollande
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
read Sep 29, 10:07 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election — Édouard Philippe | Opinion | 76% No | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Jordan Bardella | Opinion | 79% No | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Dominique de Villepin | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Bruno Retailleau | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Raphaël Glucksmann | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — David Lisnard | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Jean Castex | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Jean-Luc Mélenchon | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Sarah Knafo | Opinion | — | Open |
| Next French Presidential Election — Gabriel Attal | Opinion | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 13 minutes agoBest bid — · best ask —
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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC