OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Next French Presidential Election — Édouard Philippe

No76%

Yes27%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:12 PM UTC

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24h volume$40

7d volume$40

30d volume—

Liquidity—

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ResolvesApr 30, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues list different nominal resolution times (January 1, 2028 versus April 30, 2027), but both criteria state the result is determined by December 31, 2027, or resolves to “Other” if then unknown. Their published settlement source and rules are otherwise identical.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
1.2K holders · 780 comments · read Sep 26, 05:46 AM UTC
Opinionthis market
Next French Presidential Election — Édouard Philippe
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
read Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Next French Presidential Election — Jordan Bardella	Opinion	79% No	$5	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Dominique de Villepin	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Bruno Retailleau	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Raphaël Glucksmann	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — David Lisnard	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — François Hollande	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Jean Castex	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Jean-Luc Mélenchon	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Sarah Knafo	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open
Next French Presidential Election — Gabriel Attal	Opinion	—	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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Best bid — · best ask 76%

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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC