KalshiOpen
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 17, 2026
No97%
Before Oct 17, 20263%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$14.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 17, 2026.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 10, 2026 | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 81% No | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Jan 1, 2027 | Kalshi | 76% Before Jan 1, 2027 | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Dec 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 58% Before Dec 1, 2026 | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 24, 2026 | Kalshi | 85% No | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Feb 1, 2027 | Kalshi | 80% Before Feb 1, 2027 | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Apr 1, 2027 | Kalshi | 89% Before Apr 1, 2027 | Open |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Mar 1, 2027 | Kalshi | 89% Before Mar 1, 2027 | Open |
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As of Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC