KalshiOpen

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 16, 2026

No88%

Before Nov 16, 202612%

Price checked at Oct 25, 11:35 AM UTC

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24h volume$18.9K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 16, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	98% No	$44.8K	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	78% Before Jan 1, 2027	$7.3K	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	68% Before Dec 1, 2026	$2.6K	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 24, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$120	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Apr 1, 2027	Kalshi	93% Before Apr 1, 2027	$2	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Mar 1, 2027	Kalshi	91% Before Mar 1, 2027	$0	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 1, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	87% Before Feb 1, 2027	$0	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 17, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Oct 10, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 11:41 AM UTC