KalshiOpen

Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Claude

Claude74%

No26%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

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24h volume$24.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini	Kalshi	90% No	$37.1K	—	—	Open
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Grok	Kalshi	98% No	$21.7K	—	—	Open
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT	Kalshi	90% No	$20.4K	—	—	Open
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Qwen	Kalshi	100% No	$15.4K	—	—	Open
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Muse Spark	Kalshi	97% No	$14.7K	—	—	Open
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Ernie	Kalshi	100% No	$9.9K	—	—	Open
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Kimi	Kalshi	99% No	$137.7	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC