KalshiOpen
Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
No90%
Gemini10%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$37.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread0%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
Probability history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Claude | Kalshi | 74% Claude | Open |
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Grok | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT | Kalshi | 90% No | Open |
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Qwen | Kalshi | 100% No | Open |
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Muse Spark | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Ernie | Kalshi | 100% No | Open |
| Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Kimi | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 39 minutes agoHolders—
Held value—
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As of Sep 29, 11:10 PM UTC