KalshiOpen

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027

No84%

Before Jan 1, 202716%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:09 PM UTC

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24h volume$20K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026? Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	92% No	$46.6K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? Before Oct 1, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$34.4K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026? Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	97% No	$18.2K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2028? Before Jul 1, 2028	Kalshi	70% Before Jul 1, 2028	$10K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027? Before Jul 1, 2027	Kalshi	51% Before Jul 1, 2027	$2.5K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027? Before Apr 1, 2027	Kalshi	65% No	$1.6K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2029? Before Jan 1, 2029	Kalshi	71% Before Jan 1, 2029	$372	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028? Before Jan 1, 2028	Kalshi	59% Before Jan 1, 2028	$26.6	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC