KalshiOpen

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2027? Before Oct 1, 2027

No65%

Before Oct 1, 202735%

Price checked at Oct 24, 11:45 AM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026? Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$50.5K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027? Before Jul 1, 2027	Kalshi	70% No	$3.8K	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2027? Before Dec 1, 2027	Kalshi	60% No	$892	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026? Before Oct 1, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$702	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026? Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	95% No	$654	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2027?	Kalshi	80% No	$618	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028? Before Jan 1, 2028	Kalshi	52% No	$581	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2028? Before Jul 1, 2028	Kalshi	55% Before Jul 1, 2028	$377	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027? Before Apr 1, 2027	Kalshi	83% No	$217	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? Before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	92% No	$148	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before September 1, 2027? Before Sep 1, 2027	Kalshi	66% No	$111	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2027? Before Nov 1, 2027	Kalshi	58% No	$22	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before February 1, 2027? Before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	92% No	$1	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2029? Before Jan 1, 2029	Kalshi	59% Before Jan 1, 2029	$1	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2027? Before Jun 1, 2027	Kalshi	75% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2027? Before Aug 1, 2027	Kalshi	67% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before March 1, 2027? Before Mar 1, 2027	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 01:49 PM UTC